It’s the end of the season so it’s time to review how the Eastwood Index performed over the year and how it compared with the bookmakers. Ranked Probability Scores One of the most important aspects to me is how accurate the forecasts were and I’ve assessed this using Ranked Probability Scores, as recommended by Constantinou [...] Read more ›
Imagine an alternative end of the season. Wigan and Aston Villa find themselves locked on 40 points going into week 38, trailing a host of teams, each with 42 points. So there is an anxious final 90 minutes in store, not only for Wigan and Villa in the… Read more ›
Simon Gleave posted an article earlier about Arsenal’s finish to the season – and how dominant they were compared to the rest of the league over the final 14 matches. This led to some discussion between myself, Simon, and Sander IJtsma as to just how rare their feat of scoring 35 points over a 14 … Continue reading »
Read more ›
Rather than reporting TSR’s here I’m simply going to record the percentage of shots a team takes. It simply looks cleaner. I’m going to start by laying out the basics and building up from there. Firstly shots aren’t equally distributed between home and away teams. There’s a 56.6/43.4 split – i.e., of every 7 shots … Continue reading »
Read more ›
Eric T linked to an article earlier by Gabe Desjardins about the length of NHL playoff games and for some reason it made me wonder whether the score in regulation has any relationship to the length of time taken for a goal to be scored in overtime. So I grabbed all of the playoff goals … Continue reading »
Read more ›
Little changed on the final day of the Premier League season, as Arsenal held off Tottenham for fourth place and the final Champions League berth. With the season in the books, here’s a supersized dose of Five Aside, with a note on the seasons of all 20 clubs. • Manchester United won the English title for a record 20th time, including its 13th championship in the Premier League era, five more than all other clubs combined. All 13 of those titles came under Sir Alex Ferguson, who finished his United career with an even 1,500 games managed. Read more ›
One of the early additions to the usually quoted football stats of goals scored and conceded was the amount of possession enjoyed by each side during a match and as such it is almost universally quoted today. It is therefore understandable that much ef… Read more ›
Arsenal and Chelsea go into the final Sunday of the Premiership season with the prize of automatic qualification for the next year’s Champions League still to be decided. Chelsea hold their fate in their own hands and victory at home to Everton will re… Read more ›
We have finally reached the end of the season so for the last time in 2012-2013 here are the Eastwood Index’s (EI) probabilities for the English Premier League. Once the season is over and done with I’ll be looking back at how the EI has performed and how well it’s predictions compare with the bookmakers [...] Read more ›
Intracity rivals Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid meet in the Copa del Rey for the fifth time in history and first since 1992. Atletico has won the title in all but one of the four previous finals meetings with its rival. Real Madrid managed to win in 1975 only on penalty kicks. Ironically, Real Madrid lost all three finals against Atletico playing at its home stadium, and won the only final matchup between the two at Atletico Madrid’s stadium. Despite Real Madrid hosting Friday’s final, tickets for the event have been divided evenly between the teams. Read more ›
