Below are the Expected Points Added (EPA) leaders for the EPL through week 3. The week 1 leaders can be found in an earlier post here. To reiterate, EPA weights goals based on how important they are to the team’s chance of winning the game. This i… Read more ›
Below are the Expected Points Added (EPA) leaders for the EPL through week 3. The week 1 leaders can be found in an earlier post here. To reiterate, EPA weights goals based on how important they are to the team’s chance of winning the game. This i… Read more ›
As the regular season winds down I’m going to be posting a weekly summary of the some of the data and predictions we’re generating, which should give you some context going into each week of games.
Previous Week
Playoff & Trophy Probabilities… Read more ›
With lots of transfers happening across borders these days, it’s hard to know exactly how the leagues compare. Numbers can help with that sort of thing, but they have their limits. We know that some leagues are better than others, and we know that leag… Read more ›
So, the Champions League draw has taken place. Who is in a tough group and who has an easy ride? Measuring Group Strength We use our European Team Strength model to rank team across Europe and also to make Champions … Continue reading → Read more ›
Continuing on the theme of “a picture’s worth a thousand words”, here are the best and worst performing offensive sides from across the Top 5 European leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, and Ligue 1) over the last decade (since the 2… Read more ›
This is the first in a regular column looking at Decision Technology’s predictions for the coming season in leagues outside of England. Last season was dominated by the undignified battles between Barcelona and Real Madrid, and although Madrid won the Copa Del … Continue reading → Read more ›
Just for kicks, here’s a slightly different way of looking at clubs’ offensive production over the course of a decade. The graph below shows average goals scored per match and season for all clubs that played in the Premier League since the 2001/02 sea… Read more ›
Before the season I promised to post Expected Points Added (EPA) totals after each week of the season. Here are the EPA totals from week 1. If you don’t know what EPA is, check out a full explanation here.To summarize it very basically, EPA is the… Read more ›
Before the season I promised to post Expected Points Added (EPA) totals after each week of the season. Here are the EPA totals from week 1. If you don’t know what EPA is, check out a full explanation here.To summarize it very basically, EPA is the… Read more ›
