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Data dump: The 2013-14 Premiership season

As simple as the title states. The 2012-13 version of this post can be found here. The counting metrics are presented in the form For | Against | Ratio Where ratio is equivalent to Event for / (Events for + Events against) Goals Shots on target Total shots % of total shots on target for … Continue reading Read more ›

On the over-performance of Liverpool in ’13-14 compared to previous Premiership champions

From Michael Caley on twitter today: @RWhittall @JamesTylerESPN @mixedknuts @JamesWGrayson Have Liverpool overperformed by more than the typical champion? That’s harder to say. — Michael Caley (@MC_of_A) April 23, 2014 I think that the first part of this is intuitive. There’s a group of good teams at the top of the table, some will under-perform … Continue reading
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Which metrics are the most repeatable between the first 19 and final 19 games of the season?

In the past couple of months I’ve posted three times on which metrics are the most repeatable over the remainder of the season, as well as how predictive they are of the number of points a given team will score going forward. Those posts came after 9, 14, and 15 games had been played in … Continue reading »
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Which metrics are the most repeatable between the first 14 and final 24 games of the season?

I’ve previously run this looking at which metrics after 9 games do the best job of predicting a given teams performance over the remainder of the season. At that point shots were far and away the best predictor. Now that we’re deeper into the season and we know more about each team in the league … Continue reading »
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Which metrics are the most repeatable between the first 15 and final 23 games of the season?

I’ve previously run this looking at which metrics after 9 games do the best job of predicting a given teams performance over the remainder of the season. At that point shots were far and away the best predictor. Now that we’re deeper into the season and we know more about each team in the league … Continue reading »
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Which metrics are the most repeatable between the first 9 and final 29 games of the season?

A quick jargon buster TS = Total shots ST = Shots on target G = Goals R = ratio D = difference F = for A = against Sh% = shooting percentage (goals/shots on target for) Sv% = save percentage (saves/shots on target against) PDO = 1000*(Sh% + Sv%) Shots tell you more about the … Continue reading »
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