Brief rumination on PDO

James Yorke has a post here today about PDO. I have thoughts about several of the points raised but it’s simpler to write them here than just send a long string on twitter. It’ll be in a quote/response format. “…then you get a grey area where some people multiply the derived figure by 1000, some … Continue reading Read more ›


Stats in favor of Real Madrid, Bayern ahead of Champions League return

ESPN FC’s Gab Marcotti disagrees with Alejandro Moreno that PSG should not be written off just yet ahead of their Champions League round of 16 match against Chelsea, where he feels the side can turn its fortunes around.

The Champions League knockout round begins Tuesday. Here is a statistical look at the four matches this week, complete with Soccer Power Index (SPI) projections:

PSG vs. Chelsea (Tuesday)

Chelsea is a 65 percent favorite to advance to the quarterfinals, according to SPI, but despite that, was unlucky to draw PSG. According to SPI, only Juventus would have been a worse possible matchup of the five possible options for Chelsea. It was a middle of the road draw for PSG, who would have been favored… Read more ›

Sixty-two days, seventeen matches

Sixty-one days ago – today is day 62 – Tottenham Hotspur lined up in Turkey to play their final Europa League group match against Besiktas which they went on to lose 1-0. Two days earlier, Liverpool drew 1-1 with FC … Continue reading Read more ›

OptaPro Analytics Forum.

Organised professional football has taken over a century to evolve to the heights of the Premier League, widely regarded as the most watched and discussed club competition in the world.Similarly, Super Bowl One featured a marching band as half time ent… Read more ›


2015 OptaPro Analytics Forum: A Framework for Football Career Forecasting

The presentation at the OptaPro Analytics Forum has just finished, and now it is time to display the slide deck to the public.  You can see the slide deck below, with reformatted slides and an additional results slide. As I said yesterday, the objective of this talk is to present at a high level the objectives […] Read more ›

The Myth of the Eternal Goalkeeper.

It is not controversial to say that goalkeepers are slightly atypical of footballers in general. They have come in all shapes, but mostly one size (tall), appear to disproportionately prefer kicking with their left foot (although this is a personal obs… Read more ›


From Raheem Sterling to Ryan Giggs.

At the age of 38 Ryan Giggs played 1480 minutes of Premier League football for Manchester United. A year later he managed only 1169 minutes and in his final season just 487 minutes. A remarkable footballer, but also one in decline.Meanwhile, as Giggs’ … Read more ›